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Section 15 · Deal Autopsy & Sales Coaching

15.4Management problem detection

Designed for Phase 2
No.
15.4
DMA's reference
Decision Book p.30
Phase
Phase 2
Autonomy
L1 · Recommend
DMA's decision
Yes

What DMA asked for · Decision Book p.30

Tell whether the real problem is lead quality, sales execution, pricing, proof, speed or fit.

Why it matters to DMA: The highest-level insight in the coaching cluster; it tells DMA where to invest next.

In our words, from DMA's Product Decision Book v3, page 30.

How we do it

  • Scheduled for Phase 2, on top of 15.1 and 15.2.
  • Code groups the loss reasons and patterns into the book's six problem areas and compares each with the win side (15.5).
  • The result is a short ranked list for leadership, each area with its share of lost value and two example deals.

Already in place

  • The audit already classifies every lost deal into a lost-reason code (price, timing, existing agency, no budget, competitor, poor fit, other), quoting the note it came from, or "not enough evidence" when the notes don't say.
  • The backtest already replays the scoring against past outcomes and reports how well the score ranked the accounts that revived and the deals that were won (Measurement; synthetic history in the POC).

What the later phase adds

  • The mapping from reasons to the six problem areas.
  • A ranked list by lost value, for leadership.

The flow

It plays on its own while it's on screen; hover or use the controls to pause or step through.

Reasons + patterns15.1, 15.2Six areaslead quality, pricing…Ranked by valuefor leadership
Step 1 of 3

Inputs

The loss reasons and patterns.

  • Stored data
  • Rule in code
  • Screen

Where the data goes

The same six stages on every page. Nothing reaches Nutshell except through the write gate.

  1. 1Nutshell

    Source

    Won and lost deals, notes and calls.

  2. 2Sync

    Copies Nutshell changes into the bridge database

    Mirrors outcomes as they close.

  3. 3Bridge database

    A copy of the CRM data, plus what the AI works out

    Reason codes with their evidence; the patterns found.

  4. 4AI

    Claude models, only through DMA's own gateway

    Reads notes and summaries; code counts the patterns.

  5. 5Write gate

    The only way back into Nutshell: checked, approved when needed, sent once

    Not involved: this is analysis, nothing is written to Nutshell.

  6. 6Nutshell

    The system of record

    Unchanged.

The tables behind it

Drawn from the POC's database catalogue: structure only, no data.

crm.leadsPKiduuidnametextstatustextvalue_amountnumericoutcome_idtextclosed_attimestamp+ 20 more columnscrm.outcomesPKiduuidnametextkindtext+ 10 more columnsai.extracted_factsPKiduuidfact_keytextconfidencenumericevidence_quotetextIDprompt_iduuid+ 10 more columns

PK primary keyFK reference the database enforces (solid line)ID reference kept by id (dashed line)

TableWhat it holdsColumns
crm.leadsDeals mirrored from Nutshell, with outcome, value and close date.26
crm.outcomesNutshell's outcome list (won, lost and their reasons).13
ai.extracted_factsFacts from the notes with their evidence quotes.15
How the tables connect (1)
ColumnPoints toKept by
ai.extracted_facts.prompt_idagent.promptsThe application (by id)

Worked example

Synthetic demo data: every name, business and number is made up.

A designed ranking (synthetic example).

Where lost value comes from

AreaShare of lost value
Speed (slow first follow-up)34%
Proof (no vertical case study)27%
Pricing19%
Fit, lead quality, execution20%

In the running POC

There is no screen for this one yet: it is designed for Phase 2, as DMA's book decides. The parts listed under “Already in place” run in the POC today.

See it live

Opens the exact screen in the running POC, in a new tab.

OpenWhereWhat to try
MeasurementDMA AI dashboardThe backtest of the scoring against past outcomes (synthetic in the POC).

Status

Designed for Phase 2

Designed for Phase 2. DMA's book schedules this for Phase 2. The design is ready and builds on parts that already run in the POC.

15.4 Management problem detection · DMA AI proof